Mining the smallest association rule set for predictions

Mining transaction databases for association rules usually generates a large number of rules, most of which are unnecessary when used for subsequent prediction. In this paper we define a rule set for a given transaction database that is much smaller than the association rule set but makes the same predictions as the association rule set by the confidence priority. We call this subset the informative rule set. The informative rule set is not constrained to particular target items; and it is smaller than the non-redundant association rule set. We present an algorithm to directly generate the informative rule set, i.e., without generating all frequent itemsets first, and that accesses the database less often than other unconstrained direct methods. We show experimentally that the informative rule set is much smaller than both the association rule set and the non-redundant association rule set, and that it can be generated more efficiently.