TY - JOUR
T1 - Novel delayed binary time-series pattern based machine learning techniques for stock market forecasting
AU - Zhan, Zeqiye
AU - Kim, Song Kyoo
N1 - Publisher Copyright:
© 2025 The Authors
PY - 2025/9
Y1 - 2025/9
N2 - This study proposes an innovative machine learning technique for stock market forecasting that leverages delayed binary time-series patterns to enhance prediction accuracy. By employing an XNOR operation in conjunction with a structured analysis of historical stock price data, this approach effectively identifies underlying patterns and dependencies across multiple time windows. The research systematically validates its methodology against several established machine learning classifiers, including Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Notably, the findings indicate that the Decision Tree model, despite a slight reduction in accuracy compared to LSTM, exhibits superior overall performance in trend forecasting. The results suggest a paradigm shift in stock market prediction practices, highlighting the potential of integrating delayed time-series analysis with existing techniques to achieve improved robust outcomes. This work lays the groundwork for further exploration into diverse datasets and adaptive modeling strategies in financial forecasting.
AB - This study proposes an innovative machine learning technique for stock market forecasting that leverages delayed binary time-series patterns to enhance prediction accuracy. By employing an XNOR operation in conjunction with a structured analysis of historical stock price data, this approach effectively identifies underlying patterns and dependencies across multiple time windows. The research systematically validates its methodology against several established machine learning classifiers, including Random Forest (RF), Support Vector Machine (SVM), and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks. Notably, the findings indicate that the Decision Tree model, despite a slight reduction in accuracy compared to LSTM, exhibits superior overall performance in trend forecasting. The results suggest a paradigm shift in stock market prediction practices, highlighting the potential of integrating delayed time-series analysis with existing techniques to achieve improved robust outcomes. This work lays the groundwork for further exploration into diverse datasets and adaptive modeling strategies in financial forecasting.
KW - Combined bivariate performance measure
KW - Computational finance
KW - Forecasting
KW - Machine learning
KW - Stock market prediction
UR - https://www.scopus.com/pages/publications/105008783822
U2 - 10.1016/j.array.2025.100426
DO - 10.1016/j.array.2025.100426
M3 - Article
AN - SCOPUS:105008783822
SN - 2590-0056
VL - 27
JO - Array
JF - Array
M1 - 100426
ER -