The grey model and its application to forecast of inbound visitors from Mainland China to Macau

Zhonglu Zeng, Yong Zheng

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contributionpeer-review

1 Citation (Scopus)

Abstract

Macau s tourism industry has witnessed a significant growth in the past few years. It is very important to forecast the future trend of inbound visitors. This research uses the grey forecasting model to estimate possible number of visitor from Mainland China to Macau by using the official figures on visitor arrivals to Macau published annually by Statistics and Census Service of Macao SAR Goverment After formulating the most ideal forecast model to estimate the number of inbound tourists, we compare the forecast result with actual annual visitors to Macau to check accuracy and error value. It is intended that the research finding will not just provide the related governmental departments and industry with a foundation to base their decisionmaking on, but also act as reference point for conducting further research by fellow academicians.

Original languageEnglish
Title of host publicationProceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management
Pages48-54
Number of pages7
Publication statusPublished - 2009
Event3rd International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management - Bangkok, China
Duration: 2 Nov 20094 Nov 2009

Publication series

NameProceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management

Conference

Conference3rd International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management
Country/TerritoryChina
CityBangkok
Period2/11/094/11/09

Keywords

  • Grey model
  • Macau
  • Predictive control
  • Tourism forecast

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