Prediction research and application of a combination model based on FEEMDAE and feedback extreme learning machine

To facilitate feature extraction and prediction of nonstable time series in industrial processes, a combination model was proposed from fast ensemble empirical mode decomposition (FEEMD), approximate entropy (AE), and feedback extreme learning machine (FELM). First, the FEEMD method was used to decompose complex non-stable time series data into relatively stable intrinsic model function components and residuals from high to low frequency. Secondly, complexity of these components by FEEMD decomposition was reduced by AE complexity degree calculation and feature reconstruction. Thirdly, a feedback mechanism based on traditional ELM structure was introduced to create a feedback layer between output layer and hidden layer for memorizing output data of the hidden layer, calculating trending change rate of output data, and dynamically updating output of the feedback layer, such that a feedback extreme learning machine (FELM) was formed to predict the next time point output for nonlinear dynamic system. Finally, the combination model was used to simulate purified terephthalic acid (PTA) solvent system with UCI standard data set. The simulation results show that the proposed method can obtain high prediction accuracy, which will provide guidance for operation optimization of actual production processes.