The grey model and its application to forecast of inbound visitors from Mainland China to Macau

Zhonglu Zeng, Yong Zheng

研究成果: Conference contribution同行評審

1 引文 斯高帕斯(Scopus)

摘要

Macau s tourism industry has witnessed a significant growth in the past few years. It is very important to forecast the future trend of inbound visitors. This research uses the grey forecasting model to estimate possible number of visitor from Mainland China to Macau by using the official figures on visitor arrivals to Macau published annually by Statistics and Census Service of Macao SAR Goverment After formulating the most ideal forecast model to estimate the number of inbound tourists, we compare the forecast result with actual annual visitors to Macau to check accuracy and error value. It is intended that the research finding will not just provide the related governmental departments and industry with a foundation to base their decisionmaking on, but also act as reference point for conducting further research by fellow academicians.

原文English
主出版物標題Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management
頁面48-54
頁數7
出版狀態Published - 2009
事件3rd International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management - Bangkok, China
持續時間: 2 11月 20094 11月 2009

出版系列

名字Proceedings of the 3rd International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management

Conference

Conference3rd International Conference on Management Science and Engineering Management
國家/地區China
城市Bangkok
期間2/11/094/11/09

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